The Jockey Challenge is one of the more popular horse racing betting products released in recent years. Most online betting operators have Jockeys Challenge betting for TAB horse racing meetings, for example:
Note that Jockey Challenge markets are usually only available on race day in the lead up to the first race at each meeting.
There are two main ways you can try to predict which jockey will end up with the most wins or points for the day at a horse racing meeting.
The first way to predict jockey outcomes is to look at a measure of a jockeys past performance and compare it with how many rides they have at the meeting. For example if a jockey has a high strike rate and lots of rides then they are more likely to win the challenge with the most wins/points. Bet Selector includes jockey ratings that take into account strike rate (so the higher strike rate jockey are rated higher) but it also takes into account the class of races a jockey contests (an important factor as if you ignored this a 20% strike rate jockey in Sydney would be incorrectly rated the same as a 20% strike rate jockey in the bush). A list of our top 200 jockeys can be found in the box below:
Note the lower the number the better with the best possible jockey rating being 1.0. If you want ratings for all Australian, New Zealand, Hong Kong and Singapore jockeys ranging from 1.0 (best) to 9.9 (worst) you can get these in the daily form downloads in our Bet Selector software.
The second way to predict jockey outcomes is to use betting markets or rated predictions to predict where each jockey will place in each race. This can be a bit of a challenge but also more accurate as the first method will come unstuck if a good jockey has a book of bad rides or vice versa. Using betting markets or rated predictions to predict jockey challenge points scores is something that is being considered for inclusion in our Bet Selector software.
The Jockey Challenge revolves around trying to pick which jockey will be the most successful on on the day at a given horse racing meeting. The jockey challenge winner for a given horse racing meeting is the jockey that scores the most points based on getting 3 points for a winning ride, 2 points for a second place ride and 1 point for a third place ride.
Points for jockey challenges are shared in the event of dead heats as follows. If there is a dead heat for first place in a race then the points for 1st and 2nd are shared (so both jockeys get half of 5 or 2.5 points each and the jockey of the next horse gets 1 point). If there is a dead heat for second place in a race then the points for 2nd and 3rd are shared (so both jockeys gets half of 3 or 1.5 points each). If there is a dead heat for third place in a race then the point for 3rd get shared (so both jockeys get half of 1 or 0.5 points each). Note that regardless of the dead heat situation, there are only ever 6 points allocated amongst the jockeys per race for the jockey challenge.